Bloomberg Report
Pakistan’s biggest exchange may triple the current 5 percent limit that a stock can decline each day and introduce so-called circuit breakers that limit how much the entire market can fall, Adnan Afridi, managing director, said in an interview in Karachi.
“Our circuit breakers are a bit narrow by international standards,” Afridi said late yesterday. “We are looking at a combination of having wider circuit breakers, maybe 10 or 15 percent, and then having market halts, of say, 3 to 5 percent.”
Pakistan is seeking to boost investment in shares after its benchmark index declined 58 percent in 2008, the most in 18 years, because of political instability and an economic slowdown. Freeing up trading limits would attract more investors, said Tariq Iqbal Khan, chairman of Pakistan’s biggest money manager.
“If a stock has to fall 15 percent, it will either fall in one day or three days, the stocks have to come down to natural price,” said Khan, who manages the equivalent of $940 million in equities at National Investment Trust Ltd. in Karachi. “Nobody wants to trade in a value he feels is not realistic.”
The proposed market halts could stop trading for 30 minutes if the index rises or declines by a certain proportion, Afridi said. “We are studying different models,” he said.
Asia’s Lowest
The Karachi 100 index gained 1.3 percent to 5,956.63 at 9:54 a.m. local time today. The KSE100 Index is trading at 4.47 times next year’s estimated earnings, the lowest among 14 Asia-Pacific equity indexes, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Karachi share market has declined 36 percent since the exchange lifted trading curbs on Dec. 15 that prevented the measure from falling below its Aug. 27 level.
The curbs were imposed after the exchange’s market value almost halved from the peak on April 4 amid a political crisis leading up to the resignation of President Pervez Musharraf and the breakup of the coalition government.
Investors stoned the exchange in July after a first attempt to impose limits failed to halt the slump that threatened to undo a 11-fold rally since 2001.
Overseas investors dumped $510 million of Pakistani stocks in the past 12 months, almost five times as much as in the same period a year ago, according to the National Clearing Co.
“Significant inflows are not expected in 2009,” Afridi said. “Our credibility has been affected more so by the length of time the floor was in place rather than the decision itself.”
The exchange waived transaction fees for cash-settled futures for three months to attract investors, Afridi said.
Futures market volumes “are zero at the moment because of what the market has been through,” Afridi said. “Investors are very hesitant to take any leveraged positions.”
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